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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 225.5 (-122/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 225.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 225.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 10th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers since the start of last season (a colossal 58.8 per game on average).

Aaron Rodgers has attempted 35.2 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile among QBs.

The New England Patriots pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency since the start of last season, conceding 8.11 adjusted yards-per-target: the 9th-most in the league.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's collection of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New England Patriots defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.21 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

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