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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 220.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 220.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 220.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This year, the poor Bears defense has been gouged for a massive 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the feeble Chicago Bears defense has conceded the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a monstrous 8.75 yards.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Chicago's group of CBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • Aaron Rodgers's 177.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a substantial drop-off in his passing ability over last season's 237.0 rate.

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