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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 234.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 234.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 234.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this game, Aaron Rodgers is anticipated by the projection model to total the 9th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.7.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Aaron Rodgers's throwing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 63.8% to 67.1%.
  • Opposing QBs have passed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in football (274.0 per game) against the Bengals defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a lowly 50.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Aaron Rodgers has passed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (183.0) this season than he did last season (237.0).

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