Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Passing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 233.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
The Green Bay Packers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
Aaron Rodgers has been among the most on-target passers in the league this year with an impressive 68.1% Completion%, ranking in the 85th percentile.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has displayed weak efficiency this year, conceding 8.82 yards-per-target: the 5th-most in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
Aaron Rodgers's throwing efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging a mere 7.07 yards-per-target compared to a 8.15 rate last year.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in the league versus the Washington Commanders defense this year (66.5%).

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