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Aaron Rodgers Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-140).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.Our trusted projections expect Aaron Rodgers to attempt 37.5 passes in this contest, on balance: the most among all quarterbacks.When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.In racking up a mere 0.39 interceptions per game this year, Aaron Rodgers places among the best QBs in the NFL (75th percentile).Houston's defense grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year as it relates to forcing interceptions, averaging 1.13 per game.As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Houston's collection of CBs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.
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