Aaron Rodgers Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · New York Jets

Interceptions

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets · Week 17, 2024

Updated Dec 29, 2024 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -10-point disadvantage, the Jets are massive underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to pass on 62.9% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast Aaron Rodgers to attempt 36.8 passes in this game, on average: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.
The Buffalo Bills defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.0 per game) this year.
When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets ranks as the 6th-best in football this year.

Favors Under

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have just 127.0 total plays called: the fewest among all games this week.
The Jets have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.9 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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