Aaron Rodgers Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Interceptions

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+209/-286).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.8% pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Detroit Lions have intercepted 0.33 throws per game this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst defense in the league by this standard
The Detroit Lions cornerbacks rank as the worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
The Detroit Lions pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Packers are a heavy 10.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Aaron Rodgers has averaged a lowly 0.50 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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