My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Completions
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.8 per game) since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.28 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season (69.1% Adjusted Completion%).

The Vikings safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

More Aaron Rodgers Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™