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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Completions
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Aaron Rodgers has attempted 35.2 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile among QBs.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's collection of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.10 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

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