Aaron Rodgers Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Completions

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
The Green Bay Packers O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 9th-highest clip in football versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year (72.1%).
The Minnesota Vikings defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.56 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 3rd-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.
The Green Bay Packers have used some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their plays since the start of last season (6th-most in football), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.
Aaron Rodgers's throwing precision has worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 70.8% to 66.2%.
The Minnesota Vikings cornerbacks project as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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