Aaron Rodgers Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Aaron Rodgers

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Rodgers

QB · Green Bay Packers

Completions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ +101 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Aaron Rodgers's passing accuracy has diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 70.6% to 66.2%.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the lowest level in the league vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (63.8%).
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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