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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers Completions
Player Prop Week 12

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Aaron Rodgers Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ +101 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers have incorporated some form of misdirection on 54.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (6th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.
  • The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Aaron Rodgers's passing accuracy has diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 70.6% to 66.2%.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the lowest level in the league vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (63.8%).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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