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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Aaron Jones Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+198/-215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +205 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +198.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.9% red zone pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.57 seconds per play.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • When it comes to air yards, Aaron Jones ranks in the towering 94th percentile among RBs this year, totaling an astounding 4.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • While Aaron Jones has received 21.4% of his offense's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Minnesota's run game near the goal line this week at 38.3%.
  • Aaron Jones's 64.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects an impressive diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 88.9% figure.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense has allowed the fewest touchdowns through the air in football to RBs: 0.00 per game this year.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's safety corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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