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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect Aaron Jones to accumulate 14.5 carries in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
  • While Aaron Jones has earned 48.7% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Minnesota's ground game in this contest at 62.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 2nd-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a lowly 51.2 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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