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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-118/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This week, Aaron Jones is forecasted by the model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.1 rush attempts.
  • This year, the formidable New York Giants run defense has yielded a feeble 5.80 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's rushing attack: the 32nd-smallest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, New York's group of safeties has been very bad this year, projecting as the worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Vikings this year (only 51.1 per game on average).
  • Aaron Jones has been a much smaller piece of his team's rushing attack this season (44.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (59.6%).
  • Aaron Jones's 32.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a remarkable reduction in his running talent over last season's 71.0 mark.

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