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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in football (133 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the projection model to run only 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Vikings have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 51.4 plays per game.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • Aaron Jones has been a much smaller part of his team's ground game this season (44.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (59.6%).
  • Aaron Jones has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (30.0) this year than he did last year (71.0).

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