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Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.57 seconds per play.

The model projects Aaron Jones to accumulate 13.6 carries in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Aaron Jones has been much less involved in his team's run game this season (44.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (59.6%).

Aaron Jones has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (32.0) this season than he did last season (71.0).

This year, the anemic Green Bay Packers run defense has yielded a colossal 3.76 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 31st-worst rate in the league.

The Packers defensive ends rank as the 4th-best collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

More Aaron Jones Player Props

Aaron Jones Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12