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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 130.4 total plays called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.

Among all running backs, Aaron Jones grades out in the 84th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 53.4% of the workload in his team's run game.

Aaron Jones's 76.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a material boost in his running proficiency over last year's 61.0 rate.

With a terrific total of 5.36 adjusted yards per carry (83rd percentile), Aaron Jones ranks among the best pure rushers in the NFL this year.

With a remarkable rate of 3.55 yards after contact (83rd percentile), Aaron Jones ranks as one of the unyielding RBs in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Vikings to run on 37.1% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a mere 52.6 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Lions defense owns the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, surrendering just 3.81 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Detroit's collection of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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