Aaron Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Aaron Jones

NFL · Player Props

Aaron Jones

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 18, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to total 14.0 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
Aaron Jones has earned 52.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year in run blocking.
Aaron Jones has rushed for significantly more yards per game (69.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 2nd-least yards in the league (just 82 per game) vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year.
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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