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Aaron Jones
NFL · Player Props
Aaron Jones
RB · Green Bay Packers
Receptions
Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022 Updated Jan 9, 2023 12:36 AM UTC
NFL Props Aaron Jones Receptions

Aaron Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -165.

Favors Over
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Aaron Jones to total 3.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among RBs.
  • Aaron Jones has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 13.8% this year, which ranks in the 94th percentile among RBs.
  • The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Aaron Jones has been among the leading RB receiving threats this year, averaging a terrific 3.5 receptions per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.
Favors Under
  • The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.
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