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This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -4-point underdogs.Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 61.9% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.Opposing offenses have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.The predictive model expects Aaron Jones to total 4.1 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
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