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Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Aaron Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.57 seconds per play.
  • The model projects Aaron Jones to accumulate 13.6 carries in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Aaron Jones has been much less involved in his team's run game this season (44.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (59.6%).
  • The Packers defensive ends rank as the 4th-best collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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