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Tyler Huntley Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 17
Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams
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Right now, Tyler Huntley Passing Yards Prop is Over/Under 233.5 (-115/-115).
The money is on the Under: it opened 237.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 233.5 @ -115.
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PROS:
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In terms of Completion%, he has been the #1-best in the league, completing passes at a 73.2% clip.This year, the Ravens have played in the #6-most games with 15 mph+ winds. High wind saps quarterback efficiency and should mean better performance in better conditions.The Baltimore Ravens are projected to run 65.7 plays in this matchup, the #3-most on the game slate.The Ravens are a 7.0 point underdog. This indicates an extreme passing game script.Baltimore's O-Line grades out as the #8-best in the NFL in protecting the passer this season.Baltimore has run play-action on 36.3% of their passes this year, #2-most in football. Play action passes lead to a higher completion rate as the defense bites on the run.The Los Angeles Rams have had the #23-best group of safeties this season when it comes to pass coverage.
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CONS:
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This year, at #32-best in the league, Huntley has passed for174 yards per game.In a neutral context, Baltimore has run the #24-fastest paced offense this season.In terms of passing efficiency, Los Angeles's defense is #8-best. This is because they allowed 7.32 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.The Los Angeles Rams have had the #2-best group of cornerbacks this season when it comes to pass coverage.The Los Angeles Rams have had the #9-best group of linebackers this season when it comes to pass coverage.When it comes to putting pressure on the quarterback, Los Angeles's defensive ends rank #2 this season.Defense that stack the box make it easier for quarterbacks to complete passes. In the case of the Rams, they've stacked the box on 4.9% of their plays this season, #32-most in football.
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NEUTRAL:
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In terms of efficiency, Huntley has been #25 in the NFL this season. He averages 6.94 yards per target.In a neutral context, this offense passes the ball 62.1% of the time (#12 in the NFL).THE BLITZ projects Baltimore to drop back to pass on 56.9% of their plays in this game (#22-highest rate of the week) based on their tendencies and matchup-specific factors.Baltimore's offensive has kept pressure off Tyler Huntley for 2.43 seconds on average this year (#13-most in the NFL).Defenses leave more areas of the field open to the pass when they stack the box to stop the run. The Ravens have faced the #12-most stacked boxes in the league this year (15.5%).Los Angeles's #21-ranked pass defense has allowed 253 passing yards per game this year.Los Angeles has allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 71.1% of their targets, which ranks them #20-best in the NFL.When it comes to putting pressure on the quarterback, Los Angeles's defensive tackles rank #12 this season.When it comes to putting pressure on the quarterback, Los Angeles's linebackers rank #12 this season.
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PROJECTION:
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THE BLITZ projects Huntley to exceed his player prop total 40.2% of the time. He projects for 207.4 Passing Yards (on average) in this matchup.
According to THE BLITZ, there is positive value on the UNDER, with an expected value of $13.63. That makes its return on investment yield +12%.
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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