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Tyler Huntley Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 15
Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers
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Tyler Huntley Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 222.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 228.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 222.5 @ -115.
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PROS:
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Baltimore has played in the #5-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which artificially saps a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.Baltimore is a 9.5 point underdog, indicating an extreme passing game script.Tyler Huntley's offensive line has been #7 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Baltimore Ravens have run play-action on 36.3% of their passes this year, #2-most in the NFL.
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CONS:
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The Baltimore Ravens have had the #24-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.The Ravens project to run 61.2 plays in this contest, the #26-most of the week.This offenses projects to pass 54.1% of the time in this contest (#28 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Green Bay Packers enter this game with the #6-best pass defense this season, allowing 233 yards per game through the air.The Packers have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 66.5% of their targets, ranking #6 in the NFL.Green Bay's defense has been #3-best in terms of passing efficiency, allowing 7.07 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.The Green Bay Packers have had the #4-best group of linebackers this season in terms of their pass coverage.Packers defensive tackles have ranked #4 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.Packers linebackers have ranked #6 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box on 5.5% of their plays this season, #31-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.
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NEUTRAL:
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This offense passes the ball 61.1% of the time in a neutral context (#16 in the NFL).The Ravens offensive line has given Tyler Huntley 2.43 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Baltimore have faced the #12-most stacked boxes in the league this year (15.5%).The Green Bay Packers have had the #16-best group of cornerbacks this season in terms of their pass coverage.The Green Bay Packers have had the #14-best group of safeties this season in terms of their pass coverage.Packers defensive ends have ranked #13 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
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PROJECTION:
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THE BLITZ sees him putting up 179.5 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 33.7% of the time.
THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $27.59. It's return on investment would yeild 24%.
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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