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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -115.
  • Boyd has been on the field for 70.2% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #73 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 86.2% of Cincinnati's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #83 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 19.6% -- #79 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Boyd has been in the #76 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 73.3% completion rate.
  • Cincinnati has played in the #19-most low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year, which improves receiver efficiency and should lead to worse performance in normal conditions.
  • Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the #23 unit in pass coverage.
  • Pittsburgh Steelers safeties rank as the #32 unit in pass coverage.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Cincinnati has faced the #7-most stacked boxes in the league this year (17.3%).

  • CONS:
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.86 yards per target this season, ranking in the #26 percentile.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals have had the #29-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Bengals project to run 61.7 plays in this contest, the #24-most of the week.
  • Cincinnati is a 3.5 point favorite, indicating a rushing game script.
  • This offenses projects to pass 57.4% of the time in this contest (#23 in the NFL) based on matchup dynamics.

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Boyd is projected for -0.1% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #59 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Pittsburgh's defense has allowed 162 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#13-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #16-most yards per target (8.51) against the Steelers this season.
  • The Steelers have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 67.1% of their targets this season, (#16-most in the league).
  • This offense passes the ball 60.6% of the time in a neutral context (#19 in the NFL).
  • Boyd's offensive line has been #18 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • The Bengals offensive line has given the QB 2.44 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#16-most time in the league).
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Cincinnati Bengals have run play-action on 24.0% of their passes this year, #22-most in the NFL.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 45.5 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 51.8% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes the OVER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the OVER is -$3.57 and with a negative ROI of -3%.

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