| |
Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13
Las Vegas Raiders vs Washington Football Team
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-125/-110) with an implied projection of 65.9 yards.
The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 64.5 @ -110.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
McLaurin has been on the field for 93.3% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #99 percentile among wide receivers.He has run a route on 95.6% of Washington's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #98 percentile among wide receivers.His target share this season has been 27.2% -- #94 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.Washington has played in the #3-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which saps receiver efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.The WFT project to run 63.8 plays in this contest, the #8-most of the week.McLaurin's offensive line has been #4 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Washington Football Team have run play-action on 34.1% of their passes this year, #3-most in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
Las Vegas's defense has allowed 136 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#28-most in football).Opposing wideouts have put up the #31-most yards per target (7.14) against the Raiders this season.The Washington Football Team have had the #23-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.This offense passes the ball 59.5% of the time in a neutral context (#24 in the NFL).The WFT offensive line has given the QB 2.58 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#31-most time in the league).Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Washington has faced the #32-most stacked boxes in the league this year (5.3%).
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, McLaurin is projected for -1.2% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #43 percentile among wide receivers.In terms of efficiency, he has put up 8.83 yards per target this season, ranking in the #64 percentile.McLaurin has been in the #42 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 62.6% completion rate.The Raiders have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 66.2% of their targets this season, (#18-most in the league).Las Vegas Raiders cornerbacks rank as the #12 unit in pass coverage.Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the #19 unit in pass coverage.This offenses projects to pass 60.0% of the time in this contest (#15 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ sees him putting up 79.5 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 60.3% of the time.
The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $10.56. It's return on investment would yeild 8%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
