| |
Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 18
Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Right now, Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards Prop is Over/Under 218.5 (-115/-115).
The money is on the Over: it opened 217.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 218.5 @ -115.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
In terms of Completion%, he has been the #10-best in the league, completing passes at a 67.5% clip.This year, the Titans have played in 3 games with wind of 2 mph or less. That ranks #19-most in football and means Tannehill's numbers may be artificially inflated.Tennessee's offensive has kept pressure off Ryan Tannehill for 2.32 seconds on average this year (#2-most in the NFL).Tennessee has run play-action on 28.5% of their passes this year, #11-most in football. Play action passes lead to a higher completion rate as the defense bites on the run.Defenses leave more areas of the field open to the pass when they stack the box to stop the run. The Titans have faced the #2-most stacked boxes in the league this year (22.7%).Houston's #24-ranked pass defense has allowed 259 passing yards per game this year.Houston has allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 72.2% of their targets, which ranks them #24-best in the NFL.In terms of passing efficiency, Houston's defense is #31-best. This is because they allowed 8.66 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.The Houston Texans have had the #30-best group of cornerbacks this season when it comes to pass coverage.The Houston Texans have had the #32-best group of safeties this season when it comes to pass coverage.The Houston Texans have had the #27-best group of linebackers this season when it comes to pass coverage.When it comes to putting pressure on the quarterback, Houston's linebackers rank #23 this season.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
In a neutral context, Tennessee has run the #27-fastest paced offense this season.The Titans are a 10.5 point favorite. This indicates an extreme rushing game script.In a neutral context, this offense passes the ball 55.2% of the time (#31 in the NFL).THE BLITZ projects Tennessee to drop back to pass on 52.3% of their plays in this game (#26-highest rate of the week) based on their tendencies and matchup-specific factors.Tennessee's O-Line grades out as the #27-best in the NFL in protecting the passer this season.When it comes to putting pressure on the quarterback, Houston's defensive ends rank #6 this season.
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
This year, at #20-best in the league, Tannehill has passed for221 yards per game.In terms of efficiency, Tannehill has been #21 in the NFL this season. He averages 7.09 yards per target.The Tennessee Titans are projected to run 62.0 plays in this matchup, the #18-most on the game slate.When it comes to putting pressure on the quarterback, Houston's defensive tackles rank #18 this season.Defense that stack the box make it easier for quarterbacks to complete passes. In the case of the Texans, they've stacked the box on 15.9% of their plays this season, #11-most in football.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ projects Tannehill to exceed his player prop total 63.7% of the time. He projects for 256.0 Passing Yards (on average) in this matchup.
According to THE BLITZ, there is positive value on the OVER, with an expected value of $21.89. That makes its return on investment yield +19%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
