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Ryan Tannehill

Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs San Francisco 49ers
Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 215.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 214.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 215.5 @ -115.
  • He's been the #14-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 66.9% clip.
  • Tennessee has played in 3 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#18-most in football), which artificially improves a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to worse performance in normal conditions.
  • Tennessee is a 3.5 point underdog, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Titans offensive line has given Ryan Tannehill 2.32 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#2-best in football).
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Tennessee Titans have run play-action on 28.5% of their passes this year, #11-most in the NFL.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Tennessee have faced the #2-most stacked boxes in the league this year (22.7%).
  • The 49ers have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 72.7% of their targets, ranking #26-best in the NFL.
  • San Francisco's cornerbacks grade out as the #27-best in pass coverage this year.
  • 49ers linebackers have ranked #32 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.

  • CONS:
  • The Tennessee Titans have had the #26-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Titans project to run 60.9 plays in this contest, the #28-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 55.8% of the time in a neutral context (#31 in the NFL).
  • Ryan Tannehill's offensive line has been #30 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • San Francisco's safeties grade out as the #9-best in pass coverage this year.
  • San Francisco's linebackers grade out as the #6-best in pass coverage this year.
  • 49ers defensive ends have ranked #3 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have stacked the box on 9.7% of their plays this season, #26-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.

  • Tannehill has passed for 231 yards per game this year, #18-best in the league.
  • Efficiency-wise, Tannehill has been #20 in the NFL this season, averaging 7.14 yards per target.
  • This offenses projects to pass 57.8% of the time in this contest (#22 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers enter this game with the #12-best pass defense this season, allowing 240 yards per game through the air.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense ranks #22-best in football in Yards per Target at 7.94.
  • 49ers defensive tackles have ranked #22 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.

    THE BLITZ sees Tannehill putting up 241.3 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 59.6% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $13.16. Its return on investment would yield +11%.

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