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Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 15
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans
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Ryan Tannehill Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 212.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 214.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 212.5 @ -115.
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PROS:
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The Titans offensive line has given Ryan Tannehill 2.32 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers.Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Tennessee Titans have run play-action on 28.5% of their passes this year, #11-most in the NFL.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Tennessee have faced the #2-most stacked boxes in the league this year (22.7%).The Pittsburgh Steelers have had the #29-best group of cornerbacks this season in terms of their pass coverage.The Pittsburgh Steelers have had the #32-best group of safeties this season in terms of their pass coverage.The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box on 19.3% of their plays this season, #5-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.
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CONS:
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The Tennessee Titans have had the #25-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.This offense passes the ball 56.5% of the time in a neutral context (#31 in the NFL).Ryan Tannehill's offensive line has been #29 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.The Steelers have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 68.7% of their targets, ranking #10 in the NFL.Steelers defensive ends have ranked #6 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.Steelers linebackers have ranked #9 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
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NEUTRAL:
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Tannehill has passed for 233 yards per game this year, #16-best in the league.He's been the #19-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 65.8% clip.Efficiency-wise, Tannehill has been #19 in the NFL this season, averaging 7.21 yards per target.Tennessee has played in 3 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#17-most in football), which artificially improves a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to worse performance in normal conditions.The Titans project to run 62.7 plays in this contest, the #18-most of the week.This offenses projects to pass 56.5% of the time in this contest (#21 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Pittsburgh Steelers enter this game with the #11-best pass defense this season, allowing 238 yards per game through the air.Pittsburgh's defense has been #18-best in terms of passing efficiency, allowing 7.78 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.The Pittsburgh Steelers have had the #20-best group of linebackers this season in terms of their pass coverage.Steelers defensive tackles have ranked #14 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
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PROJECTION:
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THE BLITZ sees him putting up 229.8 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 56.6% of the time.
THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $6.63. It's return on investment would yeild 6%.
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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