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Robby Anderson

Robby Anderson Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 15

Buffalo Bills vs Carolina Panthers
Robby Anderson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -115.
  • Anderson has been on the field for 82.9% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #87 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 91.0% of Carolina's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #88 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 18.7% -- #78 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Carolina is a 14.5 point underdog, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Carolina has faced the #4-most stacked boxes in the league this year (20.7%).

  • CONS:
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 4.80 yards per target this season, ranking in the #7 percentile.
  • Anderson has been in the #6 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 46.4% completion rate.
  • Buffalo's defense has allowed 127 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#32-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #32-most yards per target (6.46) against the Bills this season.
  • The Bills have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 61.4% of their targets this season, (#27-most in the league).
  • Buffalo Bills cornerbacks rank as the #7 unit in pass coverage.
  • Buffalo Bills safeties rank as the #1 unit in pass coverage.
  • This offense passes the ball 59.4% of the time in a neutral context (#23 in the NFL).
  • Anderson's offensive line has been #32 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Carolina Panthers have run play-action on 23.7% of their passes this year, #24-most in the NFL.

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Anderson is projected for 2.3% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #75 percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Carolina Panthers have had the #14-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Panthers project to run 62.9 plays in this contest, the #16-most of the week.
  • This offenses projects to pass 56.1% of the time in this contest (#22 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Panthers offensive line has given the QB 2.45 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#17-most time in the league).

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 30.6 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 48.0% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes the UNDER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the UNDER is -$3.26 and with a negative ROI of -3%.

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