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Quez Watkins

Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles
Quez Watkins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).
  • Watkins has been on the field for 76.0% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #78 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 74.1% of Philadelphia's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #67 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #6-most yards per target (9.37) against the Jets this season.
  • New York Jets cornerbacks rank as the #23 unit in pass coverage.
  • New York Jets safeties rank as the #26 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have had the #9-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • Watkins's offensive line has been #7 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Philadelphia Eagles have run play-action on 32.4% of their passes this year, #5-most in the NFL.

  • CONS:
  • Philadelphia is a 5.0 point favorite, indicating a rushing game script.
  • This offense passes the ball 55.1% of the time in a neutral context (#32 in the NFL).
  • This offenses projects to pass 54.8% of the time in this contest (#25 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Eagles offensive line has given the QB 2.56 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#26-most time in the league).

  • His target share this season has been 13.9% -- #60 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Watkins is projected for 0.1% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #66 percentile among wide receivers.
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 8.59 yards per target this season, ranking in the #59 percentile.
  • Watkins has been in the #61 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 67.0% completion rate.
  • New York's defense has allowed 164 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#11-most in football).
  • The Jets have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 66.8% of their targets this season, (#16-most in the league).
  • The Eagles project to run 63.0 plays in this contest, the #13-most of the week.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Philadelphia has faced the #16-most stacked boxes in the league this year (14.0%).

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 35.9 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 54.5% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $2.09. It's return on investment would yeild 2%.

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