My Account Log Out
Noah Brown

Noah Brown Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Dallas Cowboys
Noah Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -115.
  • New Orleans's defense has allowed 180 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#6-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #3-most yards per target (9.45) against the Saints this season.
  • The Saints have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 68.6% of their targets this season, (#7-most in the league).
  • New Orleans Saints cornerbacks rank as the #25 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have had the #5-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • This offense passes the ball 62.5% of the time in a neutral context (#11 in the NFL).
  • Brown's offensive line has been #3 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.

  • CONS:
  • His target share this season has been 6.1% -- #32 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • New Orleans Saints safeties rank as the #8 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Cowboys project to run 61.1 plays in this contest, the #26-most of the week.
  • Dallas is a 6.5 point favorite, indicating a rushing game script.

  • Brown has been on the field for 32.2% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #33 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 37.4% of Dallas's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #35 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Brown is projected for -1.7% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #35 percentile among wide receivers.
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 8.31 yards per target this season, ranking in the #53 percentile.
  • Brown has been in the #48 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 64.3% completion rate.
  • This offenses projects to pass 58.6% of the time in this contest (#20 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cowboys offensive line has given the QB 2.45 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#17-most time in the league).
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Dallas Cowboys have run play-action on 25.5% of their passes this year, #16-most in the NFL.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Dallas has faced the #16-most stacked boxes in the league this year (14.0%).

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 11.2 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 41.6% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $10.60. It's return on investment would yeild 9%.

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™