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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 13

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles
Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 67.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -115.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line has ranked #9 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.
  • He has been on the field for 53.8% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #79 percentile among running backs.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Sanders is projected for 15.5% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.
  • Philadelphia has played in 4 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#11-most in football). Teams tend to pass the ball more in low-wind conditions, artificially deflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have had the #9-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • Philadelphia is a 5.0 point favorite, indicating a rushing game script.
  • This offense runs the ball 44.9% of the time in a neutral context (#1 in the NFL), and they project to run 44.9% of the time in this contest.
  • This offenses projects to runs 45.2% of the time in this contest (#4 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Jets have ranked #31 against the run this year, holding opponents to 140 yards per game on the ground.
  • In terms of efficiency, New York's defense has allowed 5.14 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#32-least in football).
  • Jets defensive tackles have ranked #25 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Jets linebackers have ranked #32 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Jets safeties have ranked #25 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.

  • CONS:
  • Sanders has been the #23-leading rusher this season, tallying 51 yards per game on the ground.
  • The New York Jets have stacked the box with 8 or more defenders 21.9% of the time this season, ranking as the #2 most in the league.

  • He has received 39.1% of Philadelphia's carries this year -- #35 percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Eagles project to run 63.0 total plays in this contest, the #13-most of the week.
  • Jets defensive ends have ranked #13 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Stacking the box with extra defenders is a common strategy defenses uses to stop the run, and the Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked box 14.0% of the time this season -- #16-most in football.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 83.0 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 59.6% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $13.16. It's return on investment would yeild 11%.

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