Carter has been the #37-leading rusher this season, tallying 41 yards per game on the ground.The New York Jets offensive line has ranked #13 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Carter is projected for -4.8% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.New York has played in 3 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#18-most in football). Teams tend to pass the ball more in low-wind conditions, artificially deflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.The Jets project to run 63.0 total plays in this contest, the #17-most of the week.This offense runs the ball 37.7% of the time in a neutral context (#21 in the NFL), and they project to run 37.7% of the time in this contest.The Jacksonville Jaguars have ranked #21 against the run this year, holding opponents to 120 yards per game on the ground.In terms of efficiency, Jacksonville's defense has allowed 4.31 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#11-least in football).Jaguars defensive tackles have ranked #18 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.Jaguars linebackers have ranked #19 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
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