My Account Log Out
Laviska Shenault Jr.

Laviska Shenault Jr. Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans
Laviska Shenault Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-115/-115).
  • Shenault has been on the field for 72.2% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #76 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 75.9% of Jacksonville's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #70 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 18.7% -- #77 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Houston's defense has allowed 172 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#8-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #1-most yards per target (9.62) against the Texans this season.
  • Houston Texans cornerbacks rank as the #31 unit in pass coverage.
  • Houston Texans safeties rank as the #31 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have had the #1-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.

  • CONS:
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 5.98 yards per target this season, ranking in the #13 percentile.
  • Jacksonville has played in the #21-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which saps receiver efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • Jacksonville is a 6.0 point favorite, indicating a rushing game script.
  • This offenses projects to pass 53.3% of the time in this contest (#30 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Jacksonville has faced the #24-most stacked boxes in the league this year (11.1%).

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Shenault is projected for 0.3% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #59 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Shenault has been in the #51 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 65.0% completion rate.
  • The Texans have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 67.7% of their targets this season, (#14-most in the league).
  • The Jaguars project to run 62.3 plays in this contest, the #20-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 60.1% of the time in a neutral context (#19 in the NFL).
  • Shenault's offensive line has been #13 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Jacksonville Jaguars have run play-action on 25.9% of their passes this year, #15-most in the NFL.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 37.4 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 50.9% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes the OVER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the OVER is -$5.54 and with a negative ROI of -5%.

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™