| |
Kyler Murray Passing Yards Player Prop - Week 14
Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kyler Murray Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 266.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 264.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 266.5 @ -115.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
Murray has passed for 262 yards per game this year, #10-best in the league.He's been the #1-best in terms of Completion%, completing passes at a 72.1% clip.Efficiency-wise, Murray has been #1 in the NFL this season, averaging 8.70 yards per target.This game will be played in a dome, meaning zero wind and a higher chance to complete passes.The Cardinals project to run 67.0 plays in this contest, the #1-most of the week.Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Arizona Cardinals have run play-action on 37.3% of their passes this year, #1-most in the NFL.The Rams have allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 72.9% of their targets, ranking #27 in the NFL.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
Arizona is a 3.0 point favorite, indicating a rushing game script.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Arizona have faced the #30-most stacked boxes in the league this year (#7.5%).The Los Angeles Rams have had the #2-best group of cornerbacks this season in terms of their pass coverage.Rams defensive ends have ranked #2 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.Rams linebackers have ranked #10 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box on 4.9% of their plays this season, #32-most in the NFL. A stacked box makes quarterbacks more efficient, while a light box makes it more difficult for them to complete passes.
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
Arizona has played in 5 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#10-most in football), which artificially improves a quarterback's efficiency and should lead to worse performance in normal conditions.The Arizona Cardinals have had the #22-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.This offense passes the ball 60.7% of the time in a neutral context (#16 in the NFL).This offenses projects to pass 59.6% of the time in this contest (#17 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Kyler Murray's offensive line has been #14 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.The Los Angeles Rams enter this game with the #15-best pass defense this season, allowing 253 yards per game through the air.Los Angeles's defense has been #12-best in terms of passing efficiency, allowing 7.51 yards per target to opposing signal-callers.The Los Angeles Rams have had the #18-best group of safeties this season in terms of their pass coverage.The Los Angeles Rams have had the #18-best group of linebackers this season in terms of their pass coverage.Rams defensive tackles have ranked #12 this season when it comes to rushing the passer.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ sees him putting up 281.5 Passing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 55.3% of the time.
THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $3.96. It's return on investment would yeild 3%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
