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Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 17
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns
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Right now, Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-120), with an implied projection of 32.9 yards.
The money is on the Over: it opened 32.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -110.
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PROS:
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His 44.3% snap rate this year puts him in the #71 percentile among running backs.Cleveland has been the #11-most run-heavy offense in the NFL this year with a 40.7% run rate in a neutral context.THE BLITZ projects this offense as the #10-most run-heavy of the week (based on team tendencies and matchup factors), expecting them to run on 42.7% of their plays.The Steelers defense has allowed 143 rushing yards per game to opponents this year, #30-least in football.The Pittsburgh Steelers have allowed 4.94 yards per attempt on the ground this year, putting them #29-best in the metric this season.The defensive tackles of Pittsburgh have been the #26-most effective unit among all teams in 2021.
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CONS:
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This year, the Browns have played in the #2-most games with 15 mph+ winds. Because teams tend to run more when it's windy, Cleveland's play-calling Run% may appear higher than it ought to be.Teams run the ball less when winds are light, and forecasts call for 3-mph wind in this game.In a neutral context, Cleveland has run the #27-fastest paced offense this season.The Cleveland Browns are projected to run 61.2 plays in this matchup, the #24-most on the game slate.The defensive ends of Pittsburgh have been the #2-most effective unit among all teams in 2021.Cleveland has faced the #7-most stacked boxes in the NFL this year (16.7% of the time). Stacking the box is a particularly effective tactic defenses use to stop the run.The Steelers have stacked the box against opposing rushers the #5-most in the NFL this year at 19.3% of the time.
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NEUTRAL:
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Hunt finds himself in the #58 percentile in rushing yards per game in 2021, averaging 48 yards.The offensive line is crucial to open up holes, and Cleveland's ranks #22 in that regard this season.His carry rate of 33.9% this year puts him in the #58 percentile among running backs.The linebackers of Pittsburgh have been the #21-most effective unit among all teams in 2021.The safeties of Pittsburgh have been the #18-most effective unit among all teams in 2021.
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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