| |
JaMycal Hasty Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 13
Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
JaMycal Hasty Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120) with an implied projection of 9.1 yards.
The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROS:
|
|
The 49ers project to run 64.0 total plays in this contest, the #6-most of the week.San Francisco is a 3.0 point favorite, indicating a rushing game script.This offense runs the ball 42.5% of the time in a neutral context (#3 in the NFL), and they project to run 42.5% of the time in this contest.This offenses projects to runs 42.9% of the time in this contest (#7 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Stacking the box with extra defenders is a common strategy defenses uses to stop the run, and the San Francisco 49ers have faced a stacked box 10.5% of the time this season -- #26-most in football.
|
|
|
|
|
|
CONS:
|
|
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line has ranked #31 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.He has received 11.7% of San Francisco's carries this year -- #73 percentile when it comes to running backs.San Francisco has played in the #3-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year. Teams tend to run the ball more in windy conditions, artificially inflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.The San Francisco 49ers have had the #27-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.In terms of efficiency, Seattle's defense has allowed 4.00 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#5-least in football).Seahawks defensive tackles have ranked #2 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.Seahawks linebackers have ranked #4 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.Seahawks safeties have ranked #10 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box with 8 or more defenders 20.1% of the time this season, ranking as the #4 most in the league.
|
|
|
|
|
|
NEUTRAL:
|
|
He has been on the field for 33.5% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #52 percentile among running backs.Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Hasty is projected for -7.6% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.The Seattle Seahawks have ranked #22 against the run this year, holding opponents to 124 yards per game on the ground.Seahawks defensive ends have ranked #18 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
|
|
|
|
|
|
PROJECTION:
|
|
THE BLITZ sees him putting up 4.4 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 39.8% of the time.
The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the UNDER with an expected value of $12.44. It's return on investment would yeild 10%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
ABOUT WRITENOW™
Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
|
| |
|
|
|
