My Account Log Out
James Robinson

James Robinson Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans
James Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-130/-105) with an implied projection of 84.2 yards.

The money has been on the Under as it opened 85.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 81.5 @ -105.
  • He has been on the field for 60.2% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #90 percentile among running backs.
  • He has received 55.8% of Jacksonville's carries this year -- #16 percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Robinson is projected for 16.1% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.
  • Jacksonville has played in the #21-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year. Teams tend to run the ball more in windy conditions, artificially inflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have had the #1-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • Jacksonville is a 6.0 point favorite, indicating a rushing game script.
  • This offenses projects to runs 46.7% of the time in this contest (#3 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have ranked #32 against the run this year, holding opponents to 150 yards per game on the ground.
  • In terms of efficiency, Houston's defense has allowed 4.97 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#30-least in football).
  • Texans linebackers have ranked #28 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Texans safeties have ranked #32 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Stacking the box with extra defenders is a common strategy defenses uses to stop the run, and the Jacksonville Jaguars have faced a stacked box 11.1% of the time this season -- #24-most in football.

  • CONS:
  • Robinson has been the #20-leading rusher this season, tallying 57 yards per game on the ground.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line has ranked #28 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.

  • The Jaguars project to run 62.3 total plays in this contest, the #20-most of the week.
  • This offense runs the ball 39.9% of the time in a neutral context (#14 in the NFL), and they project to run 39.9% of the time in this contest.
  • Texans defensive ends have ranked #22 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Texans defensive tackles have ranked #12 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • The Houston Texans have stacked the box with 8 or more defenders 15.9% of the time this season, ranking as the #11 most in the league.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 110.4 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 65.7% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $21.06. It's return on investment would yeild 16%.

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™