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James Conner

James Conner Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 13

Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals
James Conner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-115/-115).
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has ranked #11 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.
  • He has been on the field for 49.6% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #75 percentile among running backs.
  • He has received 45.3% of Arizona's carries this year -- #29 percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Conner is projected for 15.8% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.
  • Arizona has played in 5 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#6-most in football). Teams tend to pass the ball more in low-wind conditions, artificially deflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.
  • The Cardinals project to run 65.0 total plays in this contest, the #2-most of the week.
  • Arizona is a 7.5 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • This offenses projects to runs 49.5% of the time in this contest (#3 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have ranked #23 against the run this year, holding opponents to 126 yards per game on the ground.
  • In terms of efficiency, Chicago's defense has allowed 4.77 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#26-least in football).
  • Bears defensive tackles have ranked #27 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Bears linebackers have ranked #28 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Stacking the box with extra defenders is a common strategy defenses uses to stop the run, and the Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked box 7.5% of the time this season -- #30-most in football.

  • CONS:
  • Conner has been the #25-leading rusher this season, tallying 50 yards per game on the ground.

  • The Arizona Cardinals have had the #22-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • This offense runs the ball 38.7% of the time in a neutral context (#16 in the NFL), and they project to run 38.7% of the time in this contest.
  • Bears defensive ends have ranked #20 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Bears safeties have ranked #20 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • The Chicago Bears have stacked the box with 8 or more defenders 14.7% of the time this season, ranking as the #16 most in the league.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 96.5 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 68.2% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $31.57. It's return on investment would yeild 27%.

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