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The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has ranked #11 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.He has been on the field for 49.6% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #75 percentile among running backs.He has received 45.3% of Arizona's carries this year -- #29 percentile when it comes to running backs.Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Conner is projected for 15.8% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.Arizona has played in 5 low-wind games (2 mph or less) this year (#6-most in football). Teams tend to pass the ball more in low-wind conditions, artificially deflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.The Cardinals project to run 65.0 total plays in this contest, the #2-most of the week.Arizona is a 7.5 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.This offenses projects to runs 49.5% of the time in this contest (#3 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Chicago Bears have ranked #23 against the run this year, holding opponents to 126 yards per game on the ground.In terms of efficiency, Chicago's defense has allowed 4.77 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#26-least in football).Bears defensive tackles have ranked #27 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.Bears linebackers have ranked #28 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.Stacking the box with extra defenders is a common strategy defenses uses to stop the run, and the Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked box 7.5% of the time this season -- #30-most in football.
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