Jalen Reagor Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Reagor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

PROS:

Reagor has been on the field for 66.3% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #68 percentile among wide receivers.

He has run a route on 76.9% of Philadelphia's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #71 percentile among wide receivers.

Opposing wideouts have put up the #6-most yards per target (9.37) against the Jets this season.

New York Jets cornerbacks rank as the #23 unit in pass coverage.

New York Jets safeties rank as the #26 unit in pass coverage.

The Philadelphia Eagles have had the #9-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.

Reagor's offensive line has been #7 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.

Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Philadelphia Eagles have run play-action on 32.4% of their passes this year, #5-most in the NFL.

CONS:

In terms of efficiency, he has put up 4.75 yards per target this season, ranking in the #6 percentile.

Reagor has been in the #17 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 56.1% completion rate.

Philadelphia is a 5.0 point favorite, indicating a rushing game script.

This offense passes the ball 55.1% of the time in a neutral context (#32 in the NFL).

This offenses projects to pass 54.8% of the time in this contest (#25 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Eagles offensive line has given the QB 2.56 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#26-most time in the league).

NEUTRAL:

His target share this season has been 14.2% -- #62 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Reagor is projected for 0.6% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #73 percentile among wide receivers.

New York's defense has allowed 164 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#11-most in football).

The Jets have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 66.8% of their targets this season, (#16-most in the league).

The Eagles project to run 63.0 plays in this contest, the #13-most of the week.

Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Philadelphia has faced the #16-most stacked boxes in the league this year (14.0%).

PROJECTION:

THE BLITZ sees him putting up 30.4 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 64.5% of the time.

The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $23.78. It's return on investment would yeild 21%.

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