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Jalen Reagor Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13
New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles
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Jalen Reagor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).
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PROS:
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Reagor has been on the field for 66.3% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #68 percentile among wide receivers.He has run a route on 76.9% of Philadelphia's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #71 percentile among wide receivers.Opposing wideouts have put up the #6-most yards per target (9.37) against the Jets this season.New York Jets cornerbacks rank as the #23 unit in pass coverage.New York Jets safeties rank as the #26 unit in pass coverage.The Philadelphia Eagles have had the #9-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.Reagor's offensive line has been #7 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Philadelphia Eagles have run play-action on 32.4% of their passes this year, #5-most in the NFL.
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CONS:
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In terms of efficiency, he has put up 4.75 yards per target this season, ranking in the #6 percentile.Reagor has been in the #17 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 56.1% completion rate.Philadelphia is a 5.0 point favorite, indicating a rushing game script.This offense passes the ball 55.1% of the time in a neutral context (#32 in the NFL).This offenses projects to pass 54.8% of the time in this contest (#25 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The Eagles offensive line has given the QB 2.56 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#26-most time in the league).
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NEUTRAL:
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His target share this season has been 14.2% -- #62 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Reagor is projected for 0.6% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #73 percentile among wide receivers.New York's defense has allowed 164 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#11-most in football).The Jets have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 66.8% of their targets this season, (#16-most in the league).The Eagles project to run 63.0 plays in this contest, the #13-most of the week.Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Philadelphia has faced the #16-most stacked boxes in the league this year (14.0%).
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PROJECTION:
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THE BLITZ sees him putting up 30.4 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 64.5% of the time.
The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $23.78. It's return on investment would yeild 21%.
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© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™
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