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Freddie Swain

Freddie Swain Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 14

Houston Texans vs Seattle Seahawks
Freddie Swain Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).
  • Houston's defense has allowed 171 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#8-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #1-most yards per target (9.58) against the Texans this season.
  • The Texans have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 69.0% of their targets this season, (#7-most in the league).
  • Houston Texans cornerbacks rank as the #31 unit in pass coverage.
  • Houston Texans safeties rank as the #31 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have had the #5-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • This offense passes the ball 63.5% of the time in a neutral context (#10 in the NFL).

  • CONS:
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 6.20 yards per target this season, ranking in the #13 percentile.
  • Seattle is a 9.0 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Swain's offensive line has been #26 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Seattle has faced the #28-most stacked boxes in the league this year (9.2%).

  • Swain has been on the field for 62.5% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #64 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 67.7% of Seattle's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #61 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 9.9% -- #50 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Swain is projected for -1.7% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #40 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Swain has been in the #56 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 65.4% completion rate.
  • The Seahawks project to run 62.8 plays in this contest, the #17-most of the week.
  • This offenses projects to pass 55.1% of the time in this contest (#22 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Seahawks offensive line has given the QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#22-most time in the league).
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Seattle Seahawks have run play-action on 25.1% of their passes this year, #19-most in the NFL.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 18.5 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 56.5% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $6.39. It's return on investment would yeild 6%.

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