My Account Log Out
DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 12

Washington Football Team vs Seattle Seahawks
DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -115.
  • Metcalf has been on the field for 82.1% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #85 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 84.9% of Seattle's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #79 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 27.1% -- #95 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 9.44 yards per target this season, ranking in the #74 percentile.
  • Seattle has played in the #10-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which saps receiver efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • Washington's defense has allowed 186 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#4-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #8-most yards per target (8.98) against the WFT this season.
  • The WFT have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 70.6% of their targets this season, (#4-most in the league).
  • Washington Football Team cornerbacks rank as the #24 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have had the #4-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Seahawks project to run 63.8 plays in this contest, the #8-most of the week.
  • This offense passes the ball 62.4% of the time in a neutral context (#11 in the NFL).

  • CONS:
  • Metcalf's offensive line has been #23 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • The Seahawks offensive line has given the QB 2.50 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#24-most time in the league).
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Seattle has faced the #28-most stacked boxes in the league this year (8.8%).

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Metcalf is projected for -0.6% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #53 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Metcalf has been in the #43 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 66.0% completion rate.
  • Washington Football Team safeties rank as the #20 unit in pass coverage.
  • This offenses projects to pass 58.2% of the time in this contest (#20 in the NFL) based on matchup dynamics.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Seattle Seahawks have run play-action on 24.9% of their passes this year, #21-most in the NFL.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 78.9 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 59.9% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $13.74. It's return on investment would yeild 12%.

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™