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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills
Devin Singletary Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).
  • He has been on the field for 48.1% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #72 percentile among running backs.
  • He has received 38.6% of Buffalo's carries this year -- #35 percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Bills project to run 64.0 total plays in this contest, the #7-most of the week.
  • Buccaneers defensive ends have ranked #26 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Buccaneers linebackers have ranked #23 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Stacking the box with extra defenders is a common strategy defenses uses to stop the run, and the Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked box 9.7% of the time this season -- #27-most in football.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have stacked the box with 8 or more defenders 11.9% of the time this season, ranking as the #23 most in the league.

  • CONS:
  • Buffalo has played in the #1-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year. Teams tend to run the ball more in windy conditions, artificially inflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.
  • Buffalo is a 3.5 point underdog, indicating a passing game script.
  • This offense runs the ball 32.0% of the time in a neutral context (#29 in the NFL), and they project to run 32.0% of the time in this contest.
  • This offenses projects to runs 33.3% of the time in this contest (#26 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have ranked #1 against the run this year, holding opponents to 81 yards per game on the ground.
  • In terms of efficiency, Tampa Bay's defense has allowed 3.97 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#5-least in football).
  • Buccaneers defensive tackles have ranked #9 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Buccaneers safeties have ranked #8 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.

  • Singletary has been the #36-leading rusher this season, tallying 41 yards per game on the ground.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line has ranked #20 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Singletary is projected for 1.1% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.
  • The Buffalo Bills have had the #19-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 38.6 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 57.8% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $9.18. It's return on investment would yeild 8%.

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