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DeAndre Carter

DeAndre Carter Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13

Las Vegas Raiders vs Washington Football Team
DeAndre Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 9.97 yards per target this season, ranking in the #85 percentile.
  • Washington has played in the #3-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which saps receiver efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • The WFT project to run 63.8 plays in this contest, the #8-most of the week.
  • Carter's offensive line has been #4 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Washington Football Team have run play-action on 34.1% of their passes this year, #3-most in the NFL.

  • CONS:
  • Las Vegas's defense has allowed 136 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#28-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #31-most yards per target (7.14) against the Raiders this season.
  • The Washington Football Team have had the #23-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • This offense passes the ball 59.5% of the time in a neutral context (#24 in the NFL).
  • The WFT offensive line has given the QB 2.58 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#31-most time in the league).
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Washington has faced the #32-most stacked boxes in the league this year (5.3%).

  • Carter has been on the field for 45.3% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #46 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 41.9% of Washington's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #38 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 8.3% -- #44 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Carter is projected for 1.7% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #84 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Carter has been in the #47 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 64.2% completion rate.
  • The Raiders have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 66.2% of their targets this season, (#18-most in the league).
  • Las Vegas Raiders cornerbacks rank as the #12 unit in pass coverage.
  • Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the #19 unit in pass coverage.
  • This offenses projects to pass 60.0% of the time in this contest (#15 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 28.7 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 49.2% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes the UNDER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the UNDER is -$5.74 and with a negative ROI of -5%.

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