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Davante Adams

Davante Adams Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams
Davante Adams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 88.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 89.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 88.5 @ -115.
  • Adams has been on the field for 87.9% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #94 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 92.9% of Green Bay's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #93 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 35.0% -- #100 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 9.41 yards per target this season, ranking in the #69 percentile.
  • The Rams have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 69.2% of their targets this season, (#6-most in the league).
  • This offense passes the ball 64.1% of the time in a neutral context (#9 in the NFL).
  • This offenses projects to pass 63.9% of the time in this contest (#3 in the NFL) based on matchup dynamics.
  • Adams's offensive line has been #11 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.

  • CONS:
  • Los Angeles's defense has allowed 147 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#24-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #26-most yards per target (7.67) against the Rams this season.
  • Los Angeles Rams cornerbacks rank as the #1 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Green Bay Packers have had the #32-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Adams is projected for -1.0% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #43 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Adams has been in the #62 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 70.1% completion rate.
  • Los Angeles Rams safeties rank as the #18 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Packers project to run 62.4 plays in this contest, the #18-most of the week.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Green Bay Packers have run play-action on 25.4% of their passes this year, #17-most in the NFL.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Green Bay has faced the #18-most stacked boxes in the league this year (14.2%).

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 95.1 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 53.9% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $0.84. It's return on investment would yeild 1%.

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