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Darrell Henderson Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 15
Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks
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Darrell Henderson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-120/-110) with an implied projection of 44.2 yards.
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PROS:
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The Rams project to run 64.0 total plays in this contest, the #3-most of the week.Los Angeles is a 7.0 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.This offenses projects to runs 34.8% of the time in this contest (#4 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
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CONS:
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Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Henderson is projected for -22.8% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.
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PROJECTION:
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THE BLITZ sees him putting up 43.4 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 49.9% of the time.
THE BLITZ believes the UNDER offers better odds, but both sides have negative expected value. The expected value on the UNDER is -$4.71 and with a negative ROI of -4%.
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