My Account Log Out
Darrel Williams

Darrel Williams Rushing Yards Player Prop - Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders
Darrel Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-120) with an implied projection of 22.0 yards.

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -120.
  • He has been on the field for 49.0% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #74 percentile among running backs.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have had the #4-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Chiefs project to run 66.6 total plays in this contest, the #2-most of the week.
  • Kansas City is a 9.5 point favorite, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have ranked #25 against the run this year, holding opponents to 125 yards per game on the ground.
  • Raiders defensive ends have ranked #24 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Raiders defensive tackles have ranked #30 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Raiders safeties have ranked #25 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • Stacking the box with extra defenders is a common strategy defenses uses to stop the run, and the Kansas City Chiefs have faced a stacked box 5.8% of the time this season -- #31-most in football.

  • CONS:
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Williams is projected for -11.7% more of his team's carry share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks among the biggest increases among running backs this week.
  • Kansas City has played in the #2-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year. Teams tend to run the ball more in windy conditions, artificially inflating their play-calling Run%, which should balance back out under normal conditions.
  • This offense runs the ball 28.9% of the time in a neutral context (#31 in the NFL), and they project to run 28.9% of the time in this contest.
  • Raiders linebackers have ranked #6 in the NFL in run stopping effectiveness this season.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box with 8 or more defenders 22.2% of the time this season, ranking as the #1 most in the league.

  • Williams has been the #47-leading rusher this season, tallying 32 yards per game on the ground.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line has ranked #13 in the NFL when it comes to run blocking this season.
  • He has received 37.3% of Kansas City's carries this year -- #38 percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • This offenses projects to runs 39.0% of the time in this contest (#17 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • In terms of efficiency, Las Vegas's defense has allowed 4.46 yards per carry to opposing rushers (#14-least in football).

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 30.4 Rushing Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 60.0% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $16.04. It's return on investment would yeild 15%.

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™