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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -115.
  • Mooney has been on the field for 88.1% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #95 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 92.3% of Chicago's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #91 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 24.8% -- #92 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Seattle Seahawks safeties rank as the #28 unit in pass coverage.
  • Chicago is a 7.0 point underdog, indicating an extreme passing game script.

  • CONS:
  • Mooney has been in the #20 percentile when it comes to catching balls thrown his way this year with a 57.7% completion rate.
  • This offense passes the ball 57.5% of the time in a neutral context (#29 in the NFL).
  • Mooney's offensive line has been #23 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.

  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Mooney is projected for 1.3% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #69 percentile among wide receivers.
  • In terms of efficiency, he has put up 7.59 yards per target this season, ranking in the #36 percentile.
  • Seattle's defense has allowed 153 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#19-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #20-most yards per target (8.02) against the Seahawks this season.
  • The Seahawks have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 66.8% of their targets this season, (#15-most in the league).
  • Seattle Seahawks cornerbacks rank as the #22 unit in pass coverage.
  • The Chicago Bears have had the #19-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Bears project to run 63.7 plays in this contest, the #11-most of the week.
  • This offenses projects to pass 62.3% of the time in this contest (#11 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Bears offensive line has given the QB 2.44 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#16-most time in the league).
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Chicago Bears have run play-action on 26.9% of their passes this year, #13-most in the NFL.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Chicago has faced the #19-most stacked boxes in the league this year (13.2%).

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 59.9 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 59.2% of the time.

    THE BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $12.22. It's return on investment would yeild 11%.

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