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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 12

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles
Darius Slayton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-120/-110) with an implied projection of 40.3 yards.

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -110.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Slayton is projected for 4.7% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #92 percentile among wide receivers.
  • New York has played in the #5-most bad-weather games (rain, snow, or 15 mph+) this year, which saps receiver efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • The Eagles have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 68.3% of their targets this season, (#9-most in the league).
  • Philadelphia Eagles safeties rank as the #28 unit in pass coverage.
  • The New York Giants have had the #8-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • The Giants project to run 65.0 plays in this contest, the #2-most of the week.
  • New York is a 3.5 point underdog, indicating a passing game script.
  • This offense passes the ball 64.8% of the time in a neutral context (#8 in the NFL).
  • The Giants offensive line has given the QB 2.42 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#11-most time in the league).
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The New York Giants have run play-action on 31.5% of their passes this year, #7-most in the NFL.
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and New York has faced the #10-most stacked boxes in the league this year (15.9%).

  • CONS:
  • Philadelphia's defense has allowed 133 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#28-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #24-most yards per target (7.78) against the Eagles this season.
  • Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks rank as the #2 unit in pass coverage.
  • Slayton's offensive line has been #28 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.

  • Slayton has been on the field for 45.8% of his team's snaps this season, which ranks in the #49 percentile among wide receivers.
  • He has run a route on 63.4% of New York's dropbacks this season, which puts him in the #57 percentile among wide receivers.
  • His target share this season has been 14.8% -- #66 percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • This offenses projects to pass 61.2% of the time in this contest (#12 in the NFL) based on matchup dynamics.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 49.8 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 59.2% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $10.22. It's return on investment would yeild 9%.

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