My Account Log Out
Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13

Las Vegas Raiders vs Washington Football Team
Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110) with an implied projection of 22.1 yards.

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.
  • Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Samuel is projected for 6.2% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #96 percentile among wide receivers.
  • Washington has played in the #3-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which saps receiver efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.
  • The WFT project to run 63.8 plays in this contest, the #8-most of the week.
  • Samuel's offensive line has been #4 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.
  • Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Washington Football Team have run play-action on 34.1% of their passes this year, #3-most in the NFL.

  • CONS:
  • Las Vegas's defense has allowed 136 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#28-most in football).
  • Opposing wideouts have put up the #31-most yards per target (7.14) against the Raiders this season.
  • The Washington Football Team have had the #23-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.
  • This offense passes the ball 59.5% of the time in a neutral context (#24 in the NFL).
  • The WFT offensive line has given the QB 2.58 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#31-most time in the league).
  • Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Washington has faced the #32-most stacked boxes in the league this year (5.3%).

  • The Raiders have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 66.2% of their targets this season, (#18-most in the league).
  • Las Vegas Raiders cornerbacks rank as the #12 unit in pass coverage.
  • Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the #19 unit in pass coverage.
  • This offenses projects to pass 60.0% of the time in this contest (#15 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

    THE BLITZ sees him putting up 33.5 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 63.0% of the time.

    The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $18.60. It's return on investment would yeild 16%.

    Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.
    © 2021 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™