My Account Log Out

reorder

Curtis Samuel

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Player Prop - Week 13

Las Vegas Raiders vs Washington Football Team

Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110) with an implied projection of 22.1 yards.

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

PROS:

Perhaps as a result of a change in role, personnel injury, or matchup, Samuel is projected for 6.2% more of his team's target share this week than he has gotten overall this year, which ranks in the #96 percentile among wide receivers.

Washington has played in the #3-most high-wind games (15 mph+) this year, which saps receiver efficiency and should lead to improved performance in better conditions.

The WFT project to run 63.8 plays in this contest, the #8-most of the week.

Samuel's offensive line has been #4 best in pass protection this year, which has a real impact on their ability to complete clean passes to their wide receivers.

Play action passes confuse the defense and lead to a higher completion rate. The Washington Football Team have run play-action on 34.1% of their passes this year, #3-most in the NFL.

CONS:

Las Vegas's defense has allowed 136 yards per game to wide receivers this year (#28-most in football).

Opposing wideouts have put up the #31-most yards per target (7.14) against the Raiders this season.

The Washington Football Team have had the #23-fastest paced offense in a neutral context this season.

This offense passes the ball 59.5% of the time in a neutral context (#24 in the NFL).

The WFT offensive line has given the QB 2.58 seconds before getting pressured to find open receivers (#31-most time in the league).

Teams that stack the box with extra defenders to stop the run leave themselves exposed to the pass, and Washington has faced the #32-most stacked boxes in the league this year (5.3%).

NEUTRAL:

The Raiders have allowed opposing wideouts to complete 66.2% of their targets this season, (#18-most in the league).

Las Vegas Raiders cornerbacks rank as the #12 unit in pass coverage.

Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the #19 unit in pass coverage.

This offenses projects to pass 60.0% of the time in this contest (#15 in the NFL) based on underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

PROJECTION:

THE BLITZ sees him putting up 33.5 Receiving Yards for this matchup on average, while projecting him to exceed his player prop total 63.0% of the time.

The BLITZ believes there is positive value on the OVER with an expected value of $18.60. It's return on investment would yeild 16%.

ABOUT WRITENOW™

Create optimizable, relevant sports betting content at scale by automating your content generation process with WriteNow™. Designed and built by betting experts, WriteNow™ uses up-to-the-minute market data to develop stories that provide real-time betting insights and tell the story behind the numbers. WriteNow™ solves all your written content needs without the expense of an editorial team. The future of sports betting content is WriteNow™.

© 2021 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™